Mona M. Farnisa, Benjamin S. Halpern, Caitlin R. Fong · Scientific Reports 16, 21599 (2026) · open access
Which of the nation's historic places stand where wildfire is most likely? This map shows 56,106 places on the National Register of Historic Places, from single houses and bridges to whole historic districts, each coloured by the wildfire burn hazard around it.
Burn hazard around 56,106 places on the National Register of Historic Places, in all 50 states. From Farnisa, Halpern & Fong, Scientific Reports (2026).
Each dot is one place listed on the National Register of Historic Places, the U.S. list of buildings, districts, structures, sites and objects judged worth preserving. The map shows 56,106 of them in all 50 states (the District of Columbia is not included): the listed places where the land at the place itself has some chance of burning. Places where that chance is zero are left out. Each dot sits at the centre of the place's mapped outline. The map comes from the paper by Mona M. Farnisa, Benjamin S. Halpern and Caitlin R. Fong, Wildfire risk to United States cultural resources, Scientific Reports 16, 21599 (2026), which is open access.
This map is part of a scientific research project at the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis (NCEAS), University of California, Santa Barbara, and is shared for information only. It does not show current fires, fire perimeters, closures or evacuation orders, and a low burn hazard does not mean a place is safe from fire. In an emergency, follow instructions from local officials and contact your local emergency management agency; in a life-threatening emergency, call 911.
Burn hazard combines two values of annual burn probability within 500 m of each place: the average and the highest. Each is rescaled from 0 to 1 across all places (the top 1% are capped at 1), and the two are averaged into one score. Places are then grouped by where they fall among all 56,106:
Burn probability comes from the USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities data (270 m cells). It is a long-run likelihood, not a forecast for this year.
Each National Register nomination records whether a place matters to its local community, its state, the nation or, rarely, the world. Where a nomination gives several levels, the map shows national first, then state, then local. 113 places have no level recorded. 1,449 places are also National Historic Landmarks; their cards say so.
27 places have no type recorded. The colours on this map match the figures in the paper.
| Listed places | National Park Service, National Register of Historic Places listings (June 2025) and mapped outlines |
| Records | 47,652 places link to their nomination record in the National Archives catalog |
| Burn probability | USDA Forest Service, Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2), 270 m, for the lower 48 states, Alaska and Hawaii |
| State lines | U.S. state outlines, PublicaMundi MappingAPI |
Analysis code: fsim_nps_places scripts in the WRI-Science papers repository (private). Page updated 15 October 2026.